NVIDIA's transition to an AI agent holding company and large-scale expansions by substrate companies are acting as positive signals for the semiconductor market, leading to forecasts that semiconductors will regain dominance in the rotational market.
Want the next one from this channel too?
Manager Shin Gwang-seop diagnosed that the current market lacks a clear dominant sector. He pointed out that “sometimes semiconductors go up, sometimes secondary batteries go up, and sometimes biotech goes up,” indicating that no specific sector is consistently leading the market. A dominant sector refers to a sector that shows an upward trend for about one to two months.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop expressed strong confidence that the market will return to semiconductor materials, components, and equipment (Sobu-jang). He emphasized that “this trend was clearly visible today,” and investors should pay attention to the re-rise process after the semiconductor sector’s correction. He also advised investors who sold semiconductor Sobu-jang and switched to biotech during yesterday's free broadcast to maintain their existing positions, as their trades might get complicated.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop analyzed that the market has entered a phase where it is insensitive to negative news and sensitive to small positive news. He stated, “Bad news no longer works. This means the market itself is firming up,” implying that the market is bottoming out. He explained that the market is generally waiting for any small positive news.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop predicted NVIDIA's stock price peak in 2030 or 2031, expecting over three years of upside potential. He explained that NVIDIA is evolving beyond a simple semiconductor company into a holding company centered on AI agents. He added that if NVIDIA's stock price does not collapse, AI infrastructure-related companies will also continue to show strong performance.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop emphasized that macroeconomic factors must be continuously considered until the KOSPI definitively breaks 8,000 points and the KOSDAQ breaks 1,000 points. He judged the current phase as a technical rebound before a trend reversal, explaining that a full-fledged trend reversal is only possible after surpassing these indices. He added that it would be difficult to succeed solely through stock selection before then.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop estimated the biotech sector's transition to a full-fledged upward trend around November. He explained that until then, it would be limited to technical rebounds or short squeezes, judging that it is still too early for the biotech sector to take market dominance.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop defined dominant sectors as stocks that consistently rise for one or two months. However, he diagnosed that the current market is in a rotational phase lacking such dominant sectors. He explained that rather than a specific sector continuously rising, various sectors are moving in rotation.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop specified Alteogen's buying point at the 300,000 won level. He stated, “If it breaks the 300,000 won line, that's the place to buy,” advising consideration of purchasing at that price point, such as 298,500 won. He added that a short-term trading strategy is effective until the ex-rights and overhang issues on the 26th.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop revealed that the semiconductor weighting in his VIP portfolio is 80%. He stated that he is currently employing an 'all-in' strategy, concentrating investments in semiconductors. He explained that this is intended to maximize returns by focusing on sectors with clear performance improvements.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop reported that Simmtech announced a new facility investment disclosure worth 274.2 billion won after market close. This investment, approximately 50% of Simmtech's capital, aims to expand AI socket module and substrate production capacity. The factory expansion is expected to take about 1.4 years, with mass production targeted for January 2028.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop emphasized that large-scale expansions by substrate companies are a very strong signal of a semiconductor boom. He explained that since substrates act as the backbone of semiconductors, it is impossible for a substrate company to decide on expansion without strong confidence in demand. He added that this decision is based on calculating long-term profitability for at least 3-4 years.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop predicted that the main purpose of SK Group Chairman Choi Tae-won's visit to Japan on the 30th would be to discuss semiconductor expansion sites. He explained that Chairman Choi's visit signifies not just simple exchange, but potential cooperation for semiconductor production expansion. He analyzed that such movements could lead to benefits for equipment and component stocks in the future.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop diagnosed that the semiconductor materials, components, and equipment sector has entered the beginning of a 5-wave rally. He predicted that after semiconductor stocks rise another 20-30%, the profit-taking funds generated will move to the biotech or secondary battery sectors. He explained that this capital inflow could trigger a second short squeeze in biotech and secondary batteries.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop stated that it is more positive for the market if NVIDIA's stock price maintains stable fluctuations of 1-2% rather than a sharp rise. He explained that NVIDIA's guidance could be an important trigger for the KOSDAQ to firmly settle at 900 points. He added that a too significant rise in NVIDIA could cause a relative decline in other stocks. He predicted that the semiconductor sector might take a brief break tomorrow, around the time of the earnings announcement on the 27th.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop recommended investing in KOSPI leveraged ETFs rather than KOSDAQ leveraged ETFs. He judged that the KOSPI is currently in an upward trend with high potential for further gains. In contrast, the KOSDAQ is likely to be pushed back by technical resistance, so he recommended individual stock purchases rather than KOSDAQ leveraged ETFs.
Manager Shin Gwang-seop analyzed that the semiconductor and AI infrastructure sectors are experiencing continuous short-selling overheating, making a short squeeze highly probable. He predicted that a short squeeze would lead to a short-term rally and positively impact the overall semiconductor markets in the US, Japan, and Korea. He projected that after the semiconductor short squeeze, the pharmaceutical and biotech sector, which is in a cumulative short-selling phase, would be next.
Answers come from the transcript, with the exact spot cited.
Want the next one from this channel too?
When MBN골드 publishes, we'll write it up like the one you just read and email it to you.
{channel} published 94 in the last 7 days.
We skip Shorts. You can unfollow any time.
