Opportunity for 'Overwhelming Returns' Amid Surging Interest Rates & Oil Prices? Analysis of Samsung Electronics & Hyundai Motor Group Stocks

Recently, 10-year Treasury yields and Brent and WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil prices have been continuously rising. This upward trend is acting as an overall pressure factor on the market, especially being a major reason limiting the rebound of growth stocks and technology stocks.

A forecast suggests that Nvidia may increase AI server prices by 15%. This, combined with rising memory semiconductor prices, can be interpreted as a positive benefit for domestic semiconductor companies. The growth of the AI server market is expected to drive demand for related semiconductors.

Alibaba announced plans to issue new shares worth 80 billion Hong Kong dollars, approximately 10.2 billion US dollars. This large-scale funding will be concentrated on full-stack AI infrastructure investments, including AI semiconductors and data center construction. Alibaba's investment is analyzed as a strategy to strengthen its competitiveness in cloud computing and AI services.

Samsung Electronics' announced shareholder return plan of 90 to 110 trillion won is evaluated as a key positive factor for increasing corporate value, despite the stock price decline. Such a large-scale shareholder return is analyzed to be an important opportunity to restore investor confidence and re-evaluate corporate value. It is expected to have a positive impact on Samsung Electronics' stock price in the long term.

Samsung Electronics has confirmed a regular dividend of 30 trillion won for the third quarter. However, the specific method and scale for the remaining 60 to 80 trillion won shareholder return will be decided by the board of directors in January next year. This means that investors will have to wait for additional information regarding Samsung Electronics' future shareholder return policy. The impact on the stock price may also vary depending on the final decision.

An analysis suggests that Samsung Electronics is unlikely to use the remaining 60 to 80 trillion won for share repurchases and cancellations. Due to equity value issues, it is more likely to proceed with shareholder returns in the form of additional dividends rather than share repurchases and cancellations. If additional dividends are made, Samsung Electronics' nature as a dividend stock is expected to significantly increase, further enhancing its investment appeal.

For Samsung Electronics' new buy strategy, the first support line is suggested to be in the 254,000 to 265,000 won box range. A first partial purchase can be considered when the stock price enters this range. In particular, the 242,700 won level is mentioned as a strong desired buying price, and it is recommended to use it as an opportunity for additional purchases if the stock price falls. It is important to diversify risk and pursue stable returns through a divided buying strategy.

The first support line for Samsung Electronics' new buy strategy is suggested to be in the 254,000 to 265,000 won range. A first response can be considered in this section. If the stock price falls further, the 242,700 won level is set as a strong buy zone for the second support line. A short-term target price of 318,500 won is suggested, allowing for a strategy of buying at the low point and realizing a certain profit.

The US Treasury Secretary announced that she will unveil strong economic sanctions to isolate Iran tomorrow. Increased sanctions against Iran could put upward pressure on international oil prices, and if oil prices exceed $100, it could act as a major negative for the market. Therefore, investors need to closely track intra-day oil futures prices and prepare for market volatility. Rising oil prices can lead to inflation and interest rate hike pressure, negatively impacting the overall economy.

Hyundai Motor will hold its CEO Investor Day on the 26th. At this Investor Day, detailed roadmaps for robotics and autonomous driving businesses are expected to be announced. Interest is particularly focused on the progress related to humanoid robot development, and the announcement of shareholder return policies is also an important observation point. In addition, the IPOs of key value chain companies and Hyundai Motor Group's synergy strategy for securing new growth engines are also attracting attention.

Hyundai Motor faces performance pressure due to labor strike risks, leading to production disruptions and downward pressure on profit forecasts. However, if a robotics business roadmap and shareholder return policy are presented at the CEO Investor Day on the 26th, it could act as an event for stock price appreciation. As both positive events and performance burdens exist simultaneously, an analysis suggests that a cautious approach is needed to monitor market conditions until before Investor Day. The opinion was presented that it is better to observe an investment in Hyundai Motor for a longer period than Samsung Electronics.

Hyundai Motor's stock price, currently in the early 400,000 won range, is evaluated as an undervalued section compared to its corporate value. It is analyzed as a price range where it can sufficiently rebound and recover its original value, having been pushed down by market downturns. A purchase at the 410,000 won level can expect at least 10% profit, and if purchased at 383,000 won and rising to 476,000 won, a profit of over 20% is possible. The labor union risk is interpreted as sufficiently reflected in the current stock price and manageable.

Hyundai Mobis is enhancing growth expectations by transforming from an automotive parts company to a humanoid robot parts company. It officially announced its cooperation with Boston Dynamics to supply actuators for the next-generation humanoid robot 'Atlas'. This is expected to be a significant turning point for Hyundai Mobis to leap forward as a key component supplier in the robotics industry. This supply contract is evaluated to secure new growth engines for Hyundai Mobis and expand its future business portfolio.

Hyundai Mobis recorded sales of 31,885.2 billion won and operating profit of 1,777.8 billion won in the first half, showing solid performance. This is the result of increased profit despite slower recovery in EV demand and a slight decrease in finished vehicle production. This performance improvement is attributed to the increase in supply amount per vehicle due to the transition to SDV (Software-Defined Vehicle). In other words, it is explained that the company is offsetting the impact of reduced production and increasing profitability by supplying high-value-added parts. Despite the performance improvement, the stock price has fallen, suggesting that the current section could be an undervalued opportunity.

Ahead of Hyundai Motor's Investor Day (August 26), it is advised to wait and confirm the content of the event before making a purchase, rather than making a preemptive purchase. This is based on the judgment that cautious approach is needed due to the possibility of material expiration and ongoing macroeconomic headwinds. While the current stock price is at the lower end, the strategy is that it is not too late to buy after specific details are announced through the event. This is a conservative investment approach considering market uncertainties.

Hyundai Mobis's strong stock price support line is presented as the band from 475,500 won to 492,600 won. This price range is analyzed as an important technical section that supports the bottom of Hyundai Mobis's stock price. If the stock price enters this band, a technical rebound can be expected, and it is evaluated as a section where investment appeal increases. Securing a strong support line in the current market situation can provide stable buying opportunities for investors.

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Hyundai AutoEver is evaluated as the most central company in the SDV (Software-Defined Vehicle) market. It has a structure where software sales continuously grow in conjunction with an increase in car sales. In addition, it steadily generates connected car data processing and various service revenues, securing a stable profit base. The acceleration of the transition to SDV is expected to be a core driver for further increasing Hyundai AutoEver's corporate value.

Hyundai AutoEver is proving its AI cloud business competitiveness with actual contracts. It announced a 138 billion won order for the 2026 GPU server integrated purchase and supply contract, and also signed a 400 billion won supply contract with Amazon Web Services (AWS). These large-scale contracts show that Hyundai AutoEver's AI cloud business is moving beyond mere growth expectations to actual revenue. As its capabilities in cloud infrastructure construction and AI-related service provision are strengthened, it is establishing a stable foundation for performance growth.

Despite the current market facing difficulties due to various adverse factors such as rising international oil prices and long-term interest rates, an analysis suggests that this period is actually an investment opportunity. Market pressure leads to a situation where blue-chip stocks become undervalued, which provides an opportunity to profit when stock prices rise to their intrinsic fair value. A portfolio strategy of acquiring undervalued stocks, including Hyundai Motor Group stocks, is once again emphasized.