The deepening departure of voters in their 40s and 50s, considered the Democratic Party of Korea's core support base, has lit a red light for Chairman Lee Jae-myung's leadership and the party's future operations.
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Recent public opinion poll results indicate low positive evaluations for the Democratic Party of Korea among those in their 20s and 30s. Positive evaluations for those in their 20s remained at 15.7%, and for those in their 30s, it recorded 29.9%, showing an overall weak support. This suggests that the Democratic Party is struggling to secure the support of the younger generation.
The approval ratings of those in their 40s and 50s, considered the Democratic Party's core support base, have sharply declined. In their 40s, there was a 9.2 percentage point drop from the previous week, with negative evaluations surpassing positive ones. In their 50s, there was also a sharp 6.1 percentage point drop. These figures indicate significant cracks in the Democratic Party's traditional support base.
The approval ratings of those in their 40s and 50s, once called the Democratic Party's core support base, have plummeted from the 40s to 19%, effectively halving. This indicates that the 'New Lee Jae-myung' hegemony, which the party promoted centered around Chairman Lee Jae-myung, has failed, and instead, there is a regression to a more hardline support base. Kwon Ye-young commented, "Now, the public opinion of the DPK's 40s and 50s, who we called the core supporters, has literally been cut in half."
Kim Yong, who was classified as a key pro-Lee candidate, was defeated in the Democratic Party's Supreme Council election. Kwon Ye-young assessed, "He was defeated in the Supreme Council election, wasn't he? Even the Supreme Council candidates below him asked to be pushed forward, but he lost. How embarrassing is that?" While he ranked first in the delegate-elected vote, he placed last in general public opinion, revealing a significant disparity between delegate voting and public sentiment. This result, coupled with Chairman Lee Jae-myung's judicial risks, can be interpreted as a sign of public disaffection.
There have been reports of successive defeats of candidates endorsed by Chairman Lee Jae-myung, so-called 'Lee's Picks'. Seoul Mayor candidate Jeong Won-ho, Buk-gu AI candidate Ha Jong-woo, Kim Yong, and Kim Yong-nam were all defeated. Regarding this phenomenon, Kwon Ye-young stated, "There is no one who becomes successful after being picked by Lee Jae-myung," adding, "Lee Jae-myung's lame duck period has now begun." This raises concerns that Chairman Lee Jae-myung's effective influence is weakening, and a lame duck period could begin prematurely.
The effectiveness of the frame portraying Chairman Lee Jae-myung as a leader who 'works well' has been questioned. Kwon Ye-young criticized, "He went with the frame that 'Lee Jae-myung is a good worker,' but look. Is a leverage ETF practical? Is U.S. President Trump saying 'no thanks' pragmatism? He hasn't shown practicality anywhere." This points to a lack of concrete practical achievements in areas such as diplomatic relations with U.S. President Trump and security policies, arguing that there is insufficient basis for the 'works well' image.
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