Intensified negative evaluations and defection of 2030 generation heighten sense of crisis in state administration
Although there was already an opinion poll result below 35% last week, an even lower figure was reported this time. This indicates that Lee Jae-myung's approval rating for state administration is definitively entering the lame-duck stage.
This suggests that more than half of the Korean public feel a serious sense of crisis regarding Lee Jae-myung's state administration.
Lee Jae-myung's positive evaluation in the Seoul area was 27.9%, falling below the 30% mark. The main factors contributing to this decline in approval rating appear to be a combination of dissatisfaction with real estate policies and disappointment with recent cabinet appointments. In particular, critical views on a cabinet reshuffle that merely changes faces without policy changes were strongly reflected in the results.
Lee Jae-myung's approval ratings among those in their 20s and 30s recorded a dismal 24.9% and 22.2%, respectively. This means that the 2030 generation has reached a point where they no longer trust the Lee Jae-myung administration, regardless of the policies it introduces.
This is analyzed as the pro-Moon Jae-in faction seeking to break with Lee Jae-myung, indicating that they cannot continue with Lee Jae-myung despite attempts such as appointing Kim Hye-min as the Cheong Wa Dae AI Senior Secretary.
Moreover, the staging that emphasized his bond with his wife is also suspected of having a political motive.
Accepting the co-chairmanship of the Lumiere Summit, which has little connection to national interests, is cited as evidence supporting these suspicions.
The fact that he went when it doesn't help our national interest suggests it was an escape diplomacy, an escape trip. It seems he ran away from the personnel hearing he caused, that is, the cabinet reshuffle.
This is a public report card of less than 20 points, with a generational low of 9.2% among those in their 30s.
Furthermore, even in the Honam region (South Jeolla, Gwangju, North Jeolla), considered Lee Jae-myung's base of support, the approval rate remained at 16.3%, showing a deepening disregard from his supporters. This low approval rate reflects a very negative public perception of candidate Yong Hye-in.
The Basic Income Party receives 150 million won in subsidies to operate its provincial offices, raising questions about the appropriateness of subsidy execution and the actual functioning of party offices.
The chairperson of the personnel committee is Chief of Staff Kang Hoon-sik. However, this claim is criticized as a rationale to avoid uncovering the truth, including suspicions of Kim Hyun-ji's involvement.
Criticism has been raised that the act of deliberately exposing a tattoo as an official of a party holding a ministerial position is inappropriate in terms of public sentiment.
These remarks are interpreted as indicating that within the party, there is a mood of shielding Kim Seung-won while effectively 'discarding' Yong Hye-in.
On the other hand, candidate Kim Seung-won is considered essential for Lee Jae-myung to dismiss charges, so his appointment is expected to be forced.
The approval rating for the People Power Party has risen, widening the gap with the Democratic Party to 3.6%p. In particular, the positive evaluation of Lee Jae-myung among the 2030 generation is declining, increasing the sense of crisis for the Democratic Party. This contrasts with the People Power Party's efforts targeting young people, such as Representative Jang Dong-hyuk's visit to Olympic Park. It is suggested that the Democratic Party should now diverge from Lee Jae-myung's policies and move in the direction the public desires.
This includes former President Park Geun-hye's remarks emphasizing unity and floor leader Jeong Jeom-sik's visit to former President Lee Myung-bak. These movements led to a consolidation of support in the Daegu-Gyeongbuk (TK) and Busan-Ulsan-Gyeongnam (PK) regions.
In particular, the People Power Party's approval rating recorded 50.6% in the Daejeon-Sejong-Chungcheong region, often called a barometer of public sentiment, showing strong support.
The People Power Party's approval rating rose as the factions that were shaking Representative Jang Dong-hyuk quieted down. This leads to the analysis that the approval rating did not rise due to Representative Jang's lack of competence, but rather because of the factions undermining him. It is interpreted that the establishment of discipline through internal party sanctions ultimately led to a rebound in approval ratings.
The Democratic Party's criticism of her as 'female Chun Doo-hwan' instead provoked a backlash from the conservative camp, leading to a consolidation of support for Representative Lee Jin-sook.
The conservative camp believes that an accurate interpretation of 5.18 should be made, and as Representative Lee Jin-sook leads this charge, the perception of her as 'presidential material' is gradually spreading. This phenomenon shows that Representative Lee Jin-sook is addressing the concerns of the conservative camp and firmly solidifying her support base.
Within the People Power Party's support base, approval ratings for various candidates showed a tendency to be relatively even and dispersed, without significant differences. In contrast, the Democratic Party's supporters showed a phenomenon where approval ratings were concentrated on specific candidates, such as Kim Min-seok. This suggests that within the Democratic Party, support is coalescing around candidate Kim Min-seok.
Answers come from the transcript, with the exact spot cited.
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