Realmeter's survey shows President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating dropping to the 30% range, with a loss of support base and internal conflict cited as reasons.
This figure reconfirms the recent downward trend in approval ratings.
An approval rating threatening the mid-30s amid an overall decline forecasts future political volatility.
This analysis suggests a solid base of support that remains unshaken even in times of crisis.
Citing historical examples like Admiral Yi Sun-sin's 12 ships or the consolidation of support during President Roh Moo-hyun's impeachment, this interprets the current crisis as a hope that can be turned into an opportunity.
This shows that dissatisfaction with housing issues in the Seoul metropolitan area critically influenced the drop in approval ratings.
Simultaneously, an additional 10-percentage-point defection occurred within progressive supporters, and agitation by Kim Eo-jun and his affiliates is analyzed as having influenced this defection.
The current approval rating is analyzed as rock bottom, having fallen as much as it can. This is attributed to an optical illusion, emphasizing that the President is not doing anything particularly wrong.
There is an expectation that if President Lee Jae-myung's policy achievements become tangible in the future, the approval rating will shift to an upward trend.
Kim Eo-jun effectively intimidated the President by stating on last week's broadcast, 'We might see 2 digits instead of 3 digits in the future.' This is interpreted as part of pressure tactics using the President's declining approval rating as an excuse.
Other figures like Yoo Si-min appearing on broadcasts are also assessed as attempts to continually pressure the President. Despite this situation, the President is showing a stance of not succumbing to pressure by maintaining an uncool response.
This is attributed to intensifying internal conflict within the Democratic-progressive camp, leading to a fragmentation of the support base, and particularly to internal instability and attacks centered around the President.
It is also suggested that due to internal conflict, traditional Democratic Party supporters tend to avoid responding to polls, possibly leading to an over-sampling phenomenon where conservative response rates are relatively higher.
Citing the discrepancy between public opinion poll results and actual general election results in 2024, it is emphasized that there is no need to obsess over approval ratings. It urged to use approval ratings only as reference material and not to get too fixated on numbers.
It was pointed out that reverting to old-fashioned politics of sharing power based on stakes, as mentioned by Party Leader Kim Min-seok, should absolutely not happen, and cautioned against premature judgments based on approval ratings.
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