Expectations for a short-term rebound in the KOSDAQ market are growing as institutional supply and demand, along with trading volume, flow in simultaneously.
With the 60-day moving average acting as a resistance zone, the market's direction is expected to be determined next week as moving averages cross. The current index shows a short-term downtrend, with moving averages converging.
KOSPI trading volume, which had been steadily declining, has recently begun to stir. This is interpreted as a positive sign that liquidity is being supplied to the market again. Increased trading volume indicates renewed investor interest and could form the basis for a future market rebound.
The KOSDAQ index, which had received relatively less attention than the KOSPI, has started to reclaim the 800-point mark. In particular, an explosive inflow of trading volume over the past three days suggests significant changes in the market. Today's trading volume increased by approximately 130% compared to the previous day, showing a strong rebound.
Major large-cap stocks such as Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, and Naver have been trading sideways for an extended period, leading to their neglect in the market. Investors tended to focus only on specific issues, such as shareholder return policies of these large caps. The decrease in trading volume for these large-cap stocks acts as a factor hindering the overall vitality of the market.
Foreign investors continued their large-scale selling, totaling approximately 2.7 trillion won in KOSPI and 1.1 trillion won in KOSDAQ. This selling pressure amplifies uncertainty about the market's direction. It is difficult to determine whether foreign movements are for low-point buying or foretell a further decline.
Trading by buying in the 200,000 won range and selling in the 230,000 won range could be effective. Samsung Electronics also shows a similar trend, appearing to have moved away from being a popularity contest.
It's a time when KOSDAQ stocks like EcoPro BM are starting to move, drawing investor attention. It's time to break away from the past large-cap-centric market atmosphere and find new opportunities within KOSDAQ.
Investors tend to narrow their focus too much, only looking at their stocks of interest. This can lead to misinterpreting their stock's situation even when an entire sector is declining. It is crucial to observe the overall market flow with a broad perspective.
Robot stocks are currently showing relatively strong momentum in the market. Robotis, in particular, demonstrates significant strength. It is necessary to formulate investment strategies by focusing on the chart movements of individual stocks like Robotis rather than the entire robot sector.
DB Hitek is showing a textbook ascending chart, continuing a staircase climb after a trend has formed. After 4 consecutive bullish candles, today marks the 5th, indicating very strong momentum. It's necessary to formulate a trading strategy by checking volume flow and changes in ownership through minute charts.
This indicates that as the stock price rises steadily, selling pressure is decreasing. This trend suggests that significant momentum is building.
Institutional investors prioritize matching the average price over the exact price as their operational logic. For this, they use a strategy of mechanically selling a certain quantity in staggered amounts at the top of each hour. This method provides a logical basis for selling when predicting the peak is impossible.
Trading approaches for KOSPI blue-chip stocks and strong KOSDAQ stocks should differ. For stable blue chips like Samsung Electronics, which have high potential for future growth, buying at a low point on a bearish candle is effective. In contrast, for stocks with strong momentum like Robotis, a strategy of momentum buying when bullish candles appear is necessary.
When trading surging stocks like Robotis or Doosan Fuel Cell, a strategy of momentum buying on bullish candles is needed. If a bullish candle appears the next day, follow it; if a bearish candle appears, observe. For stocks that have already risen significantly, a peak selling perspective should be adopted.
The KOSDAQ chart is showing a rounded reversal pattern, raising the possibility of a short-term rally. In the current market situation, for investors with spare funds, allocating approximately 10% of their total capital to KOSDAQ stocks is considered a perfectly valid betting range.
A positive outlook continues for the semiconductor materials, parts, and equipment (SooBujang) sector. JooSung Engineering, Wonik IPS, Leeno Industrial, and HPSP were mentioned as notable stocks. Meanwhile, caution should be exercised in trading Alteogen until it breaks through 300,000 won.
With the explosive increase in power demand due to surging AI usage, the power infrastructure related sector is projected to be promising. Increased orders are expected for data center and power infrastructure companies, with Hyosung Heavy Industries and Doosan Fuel Cell anticipated to benefit from ripple effects. These stocks could be selected as key accumulation targets this year and next.
This is because the power infrastructure sector, as an essential infrastructure in the AI era, has significant long-term growth potential.
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