Lee Jae-myung's 'Structural Majority' Strategy and Deepening Conflict within the Democratic Party

Observations suggest that Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung will pursue constitutional amendments, including two-term and consecutive-term systems, through a 'structural majority' strategy. This vision involves a form of coalition politics with cross-allocation of presidential and prime ministerial positions, and Assemblyman Kim Min-seok is being cited as possibly having planned this strategy. Kim Min-seok is categorized as a close associate of Lee Jae-myung, and it is speculated that his desire for recognition of his strategic contribution is reflected in this.

Writer Yoo Shi-min criticized the Democratic Party leadership for dismantling the 'political alliance to overcome rebellion,' an action he claimed was similar to what President Yoon Suk-yeol did. He strongly denounced the Democratic Party's national convention, characterizing it as a 'monarchy' or 'aristocracy.' This criticism raises concerns that it could deepen divisions within the Democratic Party's support base and encourage disaffection among the Honam public.

Recent data shows that the Democratic Party's approval rating in the Honam region has dropped by nearly 20%, raising concerns about public disaffection. Amidst this phenomenon, the term 'Juseokyacheong' emerged at the Democratic Party's national convention. This refers to a situation where supporters of Assemblyman Kim Min-seok are strong during the day, preventing supporters of Assemblyman Jung Chung-rae from openly expressing their support, who then only show their support for Jung Chung-rae in the dark of night. The Honam region has an overwhelmingly high proportion of politically engaged citizens, making this pattern of support even more pronounced.

Some analysts suggest that writer Yoo Shi-min's recent critical remarks about Lee Jae-myung stem from a lack of proper understanding of Lee Jae-myung's true nature or the incidents related to him. The argument is made that anyone aware of the detailed facts surrounding various incidents involving Lee Jae-myung would find it difficult to support him. There are indeed personal cases of individuals leaving the Democratic Party after the Cho Kuk scandal, which suggests that the controversies surrounding Lee Jae-myung involve complex factual relationships beyond mere political ideology.

The redevelopment project in Gwangmyeong, Gyeonggi Province, is currently facing a halt. This is due to strong opposition from union members after the Gwangmyeong mayor announced plans to incorporate public rental housing into the redevelopment site. Residents are opposing the city's plan and demanding a halt to the project. In response, the host asserted that the decision by a Democratic Party-affiliated local government head led to this outcome, raising questions about the Democratic Party's responsibility.

Among Democratic Party supporters, there is a call to spread a strategy that attributes everyday livelihood issues to the responsibility of leader Lee Jae-myung. The argument is that criticisms linking various social phenomena such as real estate problems, security anxieties, and rising inflation to Lee Jae-myung should be continuously disseminated through official channels. This is interpreted as an intention to solidify certain claims as established facts through repetitive propaganda and to shape public opinion.

There is a possibility that a police reform committee, such as a 'National Police Reform Committee,' a 'Police Reform TF directly under the Prime Minister's Office,' or a 'National Oversight Committee for Police Affairs,' will be established under Lee Jae-myung's leadership. It is widely predicted that such a committee would primarily consist of pro-government figures, including those from Minbyun (Lawyers for a Democratic Society). Criticism also arises that it could lead to budget waste through formal procedures like debates and public hearings. In particular, the establishment of a 'National Oversight Committee for Police Affairs' is gaining traction.

Assemblyman Kim Woong of the People Power Party analyzed that the investigative power adjustment bills promoted by the Democratic Party are actually leading to the concealment of cases. He cited cases such as the Jeong-in case, the Sejong City disabled abuse case, and the Jang Yoon-ki case, pointing out that the previous system, which allowed prosecutors to re-examine and investigate cases of improper internal investigation closure, has disappeared, making it impossible to review cases already concluded by the police. This leads to criticism that the Democratic Party's deletion of security investigation powers and abolition of the system for reviewing improper internal investigation closures have led to unintended consequences.

The recently amended Criminal Procedure Act is expected to negatively impact Lee Jae-myung's political activities. In particular, it has been argued that this amendment could restrict Lee Jae-myung's activities in certain regions, including visits to Jeju Island. This is analyzed as being due to the increased burden of responsibility for crimes committed.

News has been reported that Justice Minister Jung Sung-ho's resignation has been accepted. Minister Jung Sung-ho has been evaluated as a relatively normal and upright individual among Lee Jae-myung's close associates. His resignation raises concerns that it could further increase the risks to Lee Jae-myung's leadership. In particular, it is pointed out that as the party and the Blue House become one entity, any specific risk that arises could directly burden Lee Jae-myung.

Lee Jae-myung's strong will to appoint Kim Min-gi, a Suwon High Court judge, as a Supreme Court Justice is causing controversy. The fact that Judge Kim Min-gi was an associate judge in the Kim Man-bae trial in the past is emphasized, raising questions about the background of this appointment. This is criticized as an example that amplifies doubts about the sincerity of the decentralized presidential system that Lee Jae-myung has advocated.

As promotion for the left-versus-right boxing match hosted by Boxing Showdown is underway, a severe imbalance in participant recruitment has emerged. There was mention that there are very many right-wing applicants compared to an extremely small number of left-wing applicants, with a ratio of 150 to 1. This phenomenon can be interpreted as showing a difference in the willingness to participate or the scale of each side in the current political landscape.