Lee Kwon-hee, CEO of Wizwave, recommends focusing on individual stocks rather than indices and paying attention to secondary batteries and biotech during a rotational market.
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Robotis was the only South Korean humanoid company to participate in a Chinese exhibition. Currently, Robotis's sales in China are not significant, accounting for 5-10%, but it is actively expanding into the Chinese market through actuator exports.
Currently, research-purpose humanoid robots are known to cost approximately 50 million won each. These robots are primarily focused on collecting real-life data through software learning.
The number of actuator-related manufacturers in China's robot industry is overwhelmingly larger than in South Korea. While there are 5-6 companies in Korea, China has over 50. Through aggressive government subsidies, a proactive research environment is being fostered, and the industry is rapidly growing with a strategy focused on accumulating data by treating failures as assets.
Xiaomi's large SUV in China has significantly improved in design and sophistication. It incorporates advanced features like a rotating driver's seat with its own technology and offers excellent value for money at a price point of around 60 million won.
One of the main reasons behind Samsung Electronics' stock price decline stems from the difference in shareholder return policies compared to SK Hynix. While SK Hynix explicitly announced a 40 trillion won share buyback and cancellation plan, Samsung Electronics only mentioned a 110 trillion won scale without presenting concrete buyback and cancellation plans. This ambiguity, coupled with the policy announcement postponed to the January board meeting, disappointed investors. Investors' expectations for shareholder-friendly policies declined as Samsung Electronics did not disclose clear plans for share buybacks and cancellations, leading to a lack of momentum for stock price appreciation. In contrast, SK Hynix's strong shareholder return policy positively influenced investor sentiment. Ultimately, the absence of specific information on the scale and timing of Samsung Electronics' share buybacks and cancellations amplified investor anxiety, negatively impacting the stock price.
NVIDIA's growth was made possible by the active support of US government authorities. The government fostered industrial development through deregulation and policy support without direct financial investment.
Concerns about the risks of current deregulation are considered premature. The situation is different from the 2008 financial crisis, and current market concerns are deemed overly anticipatory. Securing funding flows for industrial growth should be the priority at this time.
The recent sharp market decline can be interpreted as an aftershock. The market is expected to stabilize after September, and the Korean market is undervalued compared to its fundamentals.
There's no need to be overly concerned about short-term fluctuations in foreign capital flow. There has never been a market where foreigners consistently bought at a specific point; it's essential to look at the overall trend in hindsight. Overall foreign capital flow in August was better than in April-June, and it's important to analyze the complex movements in both spot and futures markets.
The current market is a time to focus on investment by observing sector rotation patterns rather than the index's direction. It is necessary to pay attention to sectors where previously overlooked positive factors, such as secondary batteries, can be reflected. Over 40% of KOSPI 200 companies recorded earnings surprises.
Cosmetic-related stocks have already priced in their strong second-quarter earnings. The current stock price fluctuates between 20-25 times valuation, and since it has already risen significantly, short-term entry should be cautious.
A strategy is suggested to maintain a 50% allocation in semiconductor stocks such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and to hold the remaining 40-50% in cash for trading. It is recommended to buy stocks at their bottom and sell them when a 20-30% profit is generated.
Secondary batteries and biotech have been suggested as sectors to watch in September. Statistically, technology exports in the biotech industry historically occur most frequently in September, October, and November over the past decade.
In the short term, SK Hynix is expected to be more advantageous for a technical trend reversal than Samsung Electronics. SK Hynix's target price is suggested to be around 1.8 million won. Samsung Electronics' HBM sales portion may fully recover next year. Currently, SK Hynix leads Samsung Electronics in HBM technology competitiveness and is gaining market attention. Samsung Electronics, as a latecomer, continues its efforts to expand its HBM market share, and these efforts are expected to yield tangible results next year. Ultimately, while SK Hynix is expected to be strong in the short term, the recovery of Samsung Electronics' HBM competitiveness will be crucial in the long run.
If studying individual stocks is difficult, it is better to use ETFs for that sector. If you wish to invest in individual stocks, buying the 'leading stock' in that industry is most effective. ETFs can be a good alternative for investors holding 30-50 diversified stocks.
The US midterm elections are analyzed to cause only short-term fluctuations in the stock market and will not significantly impact long-term trends. This is because key strategies, such as the regulation stance against China, will maintain consistency even if the government changes.
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