Three Gorges Dam Cracks? China Collapse Theory Spreads

This is pointed out as a symbolic case demonstrating the overall poor state of China's infrastructure, not just a simple accident.

The Li Keqiang Index, used to gauge the reality of China's economy, is showing unusual movements. The Li Keqiang Index is based on three factors: electricity consumption, bank loans, and railway cargo volume, created by Western scholars due to distrust of China's official statistics. Recently, truck traffic on Chinese highways has sharply decreased to one-tenth of its usual level, indicating a significant drop in cargo volume and suggesting that the Chinese economy is facing a serious situation.

The United States is actively blocking indirect export routes for Chinese products through Mexico. Dr. Lee Chun-keun cited the case of Volvo cars, which attempted to enter the US market after being produced in Mexico, but the US considered them Chinese-made and imposed a 100% tariff. Furthermore, the US is even considering imposing a $1 million tax if a Chinese ship enters a US port, further intensifying pressure on the Chinese economy.

This demonstrates that China's infrastructure has been severely poorly constructed due to corrupt pariah capitalism.

An analysis suggests that most disasters occurring in China are man-made, not natural disasters. Dr. Lee Chun-keun explained that China's capitalism is based on the immoral 'get rich first' theory—'those who can get rich, get rich quickly'—which ultimately leads to widespread corruption and social disasters. Citing examples such as embezzling budgets for road lanes, he pointed out that pariah capitalism, devoid of morality, is a fundamental problem in Chinese society.

Recently, news of infrastructure collapses in China with every rainfall has been incessant. Dr. Lee Chun-keun diagnosed that the repeated incidents of infrastructure collapse could shake the very foundation of President Xi Jinping's rule. This factor is raising fundamental questions about regime stability as internal deficiencies and corruption are exposed externally.

Taiwan has begun its largest-ever Han Kuang Exercise in preparation for a potential Chinese invasion. This exercise was conducted without a fixed scenario, assigning unexpected situations to each unit and simulating conditions close to actual warfare, including communication outages, attacks on military facilities, and drone warfare. This demonstrates Taiwan's strong preparedness against the Chinese threat.

This suggests that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan may not only be a territorial issue but also linked to internal governance problems.

Dr. Lee Chun-keun stated that China's share of national power relative to the US has declined from 67% to 64%, arguing that China is not continuing to develop but is rather declining. He explained that if China waits to develop until it has power equal to the US, unifying Taiwan will become even more difficult, and this impatience within China could act as a factor accelerating an invasion of Taiwan. The perception that China has peaked and begun to decline could significantly impact regional stability.

China is considered one of the countries most affected by terrorism in the world. Dr. Lee Chun-keun stated that people in Xinjiang Uyghur are carrying out bomb attacks against Han Chinese, and even raised the possibility that the Taliban might be providing bomb-making technology to Uyghurs. This suggests that the internal resistance of ethnic minorities in China has reached a serious level, and terrorist activities could expand through links with external forces.

China's biggest dilemma arises from the gap between the perception that 'China is a civilization' and leaders' perception that 'China is one country.' Dr. Lee Chun-keun explained that despite China being composed of diverse civilizations, the government's attempts to forcibly bind them into a single nation constantly face resistance. This limitation as an 'oversized nation' exacerbates internal ethnic conflicts in China and ultimately undermines governance stability.