The deepening trend of defection among the Democratic Party's core supporters raises suspicions of abnormal operation of the party's personnel system.
They were previously classified as the core and concrete support base of the Democratic Party, but recently, growing disappointment with Chairman Lee Jae-myung and the Democratic Party has led to a withdrawal of support.
As these departing supporters show no signs of returning to the Democratic Party, concerns are being raised that this could lead to a fundamental weakening of the party's support base.
The 4050 generation represents a major demographic for real estate demand in Korea and is at a stage of active asset formation. However, many in this group experienced significant asset losses due to policies of the Moon Jae-in administration and Chairman Lee Jae-myung, which severely impacted the real estate and stock markets.
It is analyzed that they felt a sense of betrayal, not merely that their economic interests were infringed upon, but as if their very foundation was being eroded. Their 'blind eye' attitude, which previously led them to blindly support the Democratic Party, crumbled in the face of economic blows that hit their personal wallets.
The sense of betrayal felt by the 4050 generation is on a different level from simple political opposition. Just as people feel greater pain when betrayed by someone they trusted, the disappointment received from Chairman Lee Jae-myung, whom they deeply trusted, acted as an even greater psychological shock.
This means that the betrayal they experienced from the politicians they themselves elected and supported is far more severe than their dislike for the opposing party, the People Power Party. It is highly unlikely that supporters who have experienced such a collapse of values will return to the Democratic Party.
Impeachment is difficult with the strength of one party alone; it requires betrayal votes from one's own side.
The defection is so severe that it is rumored that half of the Democratic Party's supporters have turned away, increasing political uncertainty during the remaining term.
The 4050 generation, experiencing assets that were once in their hands disappear, are suffering a greater psychological blow than mere poverty.
The explosive increase in tax-related concerns, such as non-resident one-house owners, in online communities attests to this. Tax reforms directly impacting daily life have further accelerated disappointment with and defection from the Democratic Party.
The political actions of celebrities like Lee Ha-neul and Yoo Si-min are drawing attention and sympathy among the 4050 generation. Their actions, seen when successful entertainers are no longer doing well, are not viewed positively by the public. This can be interpreted as a reaction to seek renewed attention through political engagement.
The 4050 generation, who were once activists, are now middle-aged and asset-holders, experiencing a shift in political views. They feel the burden of taxes such as acquisition tax, transfer tax, comprehensive real estate tax, and value-added tax, realizing that politics and personal life are closely intertwined.
This change in interests is a significant reason for their turn towards conservative political views; they can no longer separate politics from their lives.
Unless the Democratic Party reverses its current policy direction, it is unlikely to regain the support of the 4050 generation that has already turned away. Policies such as the controversy over the abolition of credit card income tax deductions have caused relative deprivation and criticism of the tax increase stance among them.
Analysis suggests that unless the Democratic Party fundamentally revises its policy direction, the converted 4050 generation will not support the Democratic Party again.
A recent statement by Seo Yong-ju, former standing deputy spokesperson for the Democratic Party, regarding an individual named 'Kim Hyun-ji' was hastily deleted from a JTBC 'Genreman Yeouido' broadcast. This statement included a reference to a specific personnel line.
The circumstances of the urgent deletion of the clip after realizing a mistake during the broadcast has amplified suspicions about the Democratic Party's internal personnel system.
Suspicions of intervention in the personnel line during the cabinet reshuffle process within the Democratic Party have brought the 'unofficial power broker' controversy back to the surface. In the past, the Democratic Party strongly criticized the Yoon Suk-yeol administration's presidential office personnel verification, but now they are being criticized for showing the same problems.
The act of deleting the video itself ended up increasing the credibility of the statement, and this is criticized as a clear example of the Democratic Party's double standards.
Initially, it was at the level of 'Who is Kim Hyun-ji?', but now direct statements like 'Isn't Kim Hyun-ji the personnel line?' have emerged.
Every time this name is mentioned, reactions such as 'the broadcast disappears' are observed, indicating an atmosphere where the name Kim Hyun-ji is treated as a taboo word within the Democratic Party.
Concrete evidence is emerging that Ms. Kim Hyun-ji is involved in cabinet appointments and key personnel lines.
Some even point out that this situation is as serious as the Choi Soon-sil scandal. The fact that Ms. Kim Hyun-ji is mentioned as the de facto decision-maker despite the existence of a personnel secretariat is abnormal.
Like the culture of 'Pihwi' (name taboo) where names are not to be called carelessly, whenever Ms. Kim Hyun-ji's name is mentioned, broadcast clips are deleted or attitudes change abruptly, followed by abnormal rectification.
This further strengthens suspicions of abuse of power by an unofficial power broker, not through a legitimate personnel system.
A situation where a secretary's power seems to supersede that of the president in a democratic system is subject to criticism, and the rigid reactions observed when this individual is mentioned in political circles support these suspicions.
As the perception that Ms. Kim Hyun-ji effectively exercises personnel authority spreads in political circles, the 'Kim Hyun-ji Pick' is now considered the official personnel selection method. Consequently, the trend of personnel predictions in politics is shifting to focus on the 'Kim Hyun-ji line' rather than the President's intentions.
This is cited as an example proving the influence of an unofficial power above the President, further deepening criticism of the Democratic Party's opaque personnel system.
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