With major economic events such as Nvidia's earnings release and the Jackson Hole meeting concentrated next week, attention is focused on the stock price trends of semiconductor and AI-related companies.
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Hanwha Investment & Securities acquired an additional 3.94% stake in Dunamu held by Kakao Investment. With this acquisition of 597.8 billion won on June 15, Hanwha Investment & Securities secured a total of 3.435 million shares, or 9.84% ownership, becoming Dunamu's third-largest shareholder. This is considered a more stable alternative compared to Woori Technology Investment.
SK Hynix announced that it plans to expand its free cash flow (FCF) return range from the existing 'within 50%' to 'over 50%' as part of its shareholder return policy. It also plans to strengthen shareholder-friendly policies by considering the introduction of fixed dividends and special dividends. Detailed information on this will be disclosed during the third-quarter earnings announcement.
Market expectations for Samsung Electronics' shareholder return size range from a maximum of 110 trillion won to 150 trillion won. However, there are concerns that such high expectations could lead to a 'sell on the news' trend after the announcement. As expectations are already fully reflected, there is a possibility of disappointment sales if the actual announced amount falls short of market expectations. Especially considering regulations on financial affiliates' stakes, a shareholder return structure centered on special dividends is likely.
Samsung Electronics' foundry business is expected to increase production prices by up to 15%. Considering that TSMC's utilization rate is saturated to the point where it struggles to handle Nvidia's volume, Samsung Electronics is expected to benefit from this spillover effect. Samsung Electronics has been operating its foundry lines at maximum capacity since late last year and has stated that the likelihood of turning profitable in the second half of this year is very high.
Next week, Nvidia's earnings release and the groundbreaking ceremony for SK Hynix's advanced packaging plant in the U.S. are scheduled, drawing market attention. The overall trend of the semiconductor sector is expected to be confirmed after Nvidia's earnings announcement. Particularly, depending on what is announced at SK Hynix's U.S. plant groundbreaking ceremony, front-end equipment companies and SK affiliates are likely to benefit. Investors need to look for investment opportunities in related companies through these two major events.
Nvidia is shifting its business strategy by emphasizing 'Physical AI' as a core technology beyond semiconductors and GPUs. While mentions of the overall AI ecosystem, including the next-generation model 'Vera Rubin,' are expected, the company is focusing on the physical realization of AI, such as robots and AI workers. This is interpreted as Nvidia's strategy to evolve from a mere hardware company to one that encompasses all AI solutions.
SK Telecom has decided to maintain its business collaboration with AI company Anthropic instead of selling its stake. This appears to prioritize a long-term cooperative relationship in AI data centers and cloud rather than recovering investment capital. This strategy is interpreted as strengthening key partnerships for the future AI industry rather than maximizing IPO profits.
With Anthropic's IPO approaching, there is a possibility that its corporate value could be assessed at over 4,000 trillion won. This figure surpasses SpaceX's record of 104 trillion won set in June. This suggests that Anthropic's high technological prowess and growth potential are generating significant market expectations.
It has drawn attention that an Nvidia senior executive visited the Robotis booth for an extended period at the World Robot Conference (WRC). This is interpreted as a strong indication of Nvidia's high interest in Robotis' humanoid control technology and actuator lineup. This visit has raised the possibility that Robotis could build a collaboration reference with Nvidia.
The Hyundai Motor labor union has launched a full strike for the first time in 10 years, and the Kia labor union is also scheduled to begin a partial strike for four days starting on the 26th. The unions are demanding an extension of the retirement age to 65 and wage increases, but negotiations are difficult due to significant differences in positions with management. This strike is seen as a factor increasing investment uncertainty for Hyundai Motor Group, suggesting the need for a cautious approach to investments in related stocks.
Samsung Electronics' shareholder return size is expected by the market to be between approximately 90 trillion won and 110 trillion won. Some voices anticipate up to 150 trillion won, but nothing has been confirmed yet. There may be volatility until the final announcement, and market reaction is expected to vary depending on the actual size.
The concentration of supply and demand towards Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix today is analyzed as temporary. Other sectors that were relatively affected are likely to stabilize again starting next week. Investors can look for investment opportunities across the overall market, expecting the supply and demand balance to recover ahead of major economic events next week.
Robotis is LG's second-largest shareholder and has a history of supplying components to Tesla. Particularly attractive points include its adoption of actuators for Hyundai Motor's Boston Dynamics and the potential to benefit from Samsung's mass production of humanoid robots. Recent visits by Nvidia officials further highlight Robotis' technological capabilities and growth potential.
Madison Hwang just visited Robotis' booth today, and Hallacast is good too. But I find Robotis so attractive right now.
News recently broke that Hallacast signed a supply contract with a big tech company. While the official supplier has not yet been disclosed, the market speculates that the company is likely Tesla. Although the stock price saw a temporary pause today, these expectations remain valid.
Next week, major economic events are scheduled, starting with the Iran sanctions announcement, followed by Nvidia's earnings release, PCE price index, revised GDP figures, and the Jackson Hole meeting. Ahead of these various variables, the market is expected to find overall stability rather than extreme supply and demand imbalances. Investors need to closely monitor the results of each event and approach cautiously.
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