Lee Jae-myung's Approval Rating Faces Crisis of Falling Below 30%, Negative Evaluation by 40s Exceeds 60%

Consequently, concerns are being raised that the possibility of his approval rating collapsing below 30% could become a reality.

Analysis suggests that the party's policy direction is out of sync with youth sentiment, and young people are also reacting negatively to the performance shown at the national convention. As a result, pessimism about Lee Jae-myung's chances of a rebound is spreading.

This is considered a decline on the level of a 'market crash.' Analysis largely suggests that the Honam semiconductor strategy proposed during the national convention and the controversy surrounding the Starbucks independence activist event had a counterproductive effect on Honam public sentiment. Considering that Honam is the Democratic Party's traditional support base, such a decline in approval rating is expected to serve as a serious warning sign for the party.

Concerns are growing that if the departure of core supporters continues, the approval rating could converge to the level of fixed supporters. This decline is expected to significantly damage Lee Jae-myung's political standing.

In particular, they claim that there is widespread public opinion that they do not recognize Lee Jae-myung as president. Criticism of the clause on the revocation of public prosecution in the criminal law amendment, along with the youth's rejection of attempts at history education and ideological indoctrination, are also analyzed as contributing to the antipathy towards Lee.

In particular, anger among young people over ideology-driven administrative processing is growing, and this is analyzed as influencing the formation of negative public opinion towards Lee Jae-myung.

In particular, former President Trump's remarks regarding ROK-US joint exercises are believed to have further amplified this security anxiety, leading to the departure of conservative voters.

Lee Jae-myung's pledge to 'install bathtubs in gosiwon (cram school dormitories)' is being criticized as a prime example of impractical administrative policy disconnected from reality. Experts with experience living in gosiwon point out that bathtub installation is physically impossible due to the gosiwon's structure and criticize that this pledge was made without understanding the reality of youth housing. It was emphasized that gosiwon do not have partitions, making not only bathtub installation but also the environment for individual units to use water impossible. This is leading to criticism that realistic circumstances were not properly considered during the policy formulation process.

In fact, it is reported that during the assembly members' general meeting, while acknowledging the intent of the system, they expressed indirect opposition by raising the question of 'why now?' This is interpreted as reflecting the assembly members' reluctance to be subject to evaluation.

It is pointed out that Kim, who was elected leader through a party-centric primary at the time, is now advocating for electing the leader through public opinion polls, which constitutes a change in stance. Citing Representative Ahn Cheol-soo's criticism, the argument emphasizes his responsibility for inconsistent behavior as a veteran multi-term assembly member.

After Yoo Si-min's remarks, internal conflicts within the Democratic Party have deepened, and Representative Park Jie-won even strongly criticized Yoo Si-min's remarks, stating that the Democratic Party is heading towards becoming 'rebellious forces.' As the ripple effect of Yoo Si-min's remarks grows, further division within the Democratic Party is expected.

Pessimistic predictions have been raised regarding the longevity of the Democratic Party of Korea's Kim Min-seok leadership. It is observed that the current Kim Min-seok leadership will have difficulty lasting more than six months. It was also assessed that leader Lee Jae-myung has already entered a 'dead duck' state, and the Kim Min-seok leadership entered 'lame duck' status simultaneously with its launch. Internal opposition that arose during the appointment process of appointed supreme council members is analyzed as further deepening the Kim Min-seok leadership's lack of leadership. This situation adds great instability to the Democratic Party's future direction.

In particular, questions are being raised about the sincerity of the 'Honam Semiconductor' pledge presented during the national convention. It is reported that within the party, there is a sentiment of not recognizing the Kim Min-seok leadership and instead seeking out Representative Jeong Cheong-rae again. This suggests that beyond a mere drop in approval rating, the party's core support base is shaking, and calls for significant changes in the Democratic Party's future strategy are growing.

Concerns about a public security gap due to the abolition of the prosecution's security investigative powers are spreading. Citing the victim of the 'Busan Roundhouse Kick' incident, who stated that 'the gates of hell will open' if the prosecution's security investigative powers are completely abolished, criticism has been raised that the current situation is no different. With concerns that strengthening the police's sole investigative powers could lead to a lack of investigative capabilities and a breakdown in public security, critical public opinion on the 'Prosecution Reform' (complete deprivation of prosecutorial investigative powers) policy is further intensifying.

The argument to restore the prosecution's investigative powers, 'Restore Prosecutorial Powers,' is spreading within and outside political circles. Pointing out that Representative Kim Min-seok used the complete abolition of prosecutorial investigative powers as a major justification during his election as party leader, criticism has been raised that it will be difficult for him to reverse this policy. Consequently, calls for Representative Kim Min-seok's resignation and revision of the 'Prosecution Reform' policy are growing, and this is emerging as a major point of contention in internal party conflicts.

This is interpreted as a result of a combination of factors, including the controversy surrounding Representative Kim Min-seok's remarks related to the May 18 event and Representative Lee Jin-soo's close monitoring of Representative Kim Min-seok, revealing the severity of factional conflict within the Democratic Party.