"Securities firms are keeping quiet" The real reason Samsung Electronics plunged, and something terrible is about to happen

Lee Seung-jo, the Mugeuk Seonsaeng, pointed out that institutional investors' ability to defend share prices has markedly weakened recently. He analyzed that, unlike in the past, institutions are not properly playing the role of supporting share prices, and that this further deepens market instability. He proposed policy measures that would require banks and other financial institutions to hold a certain percentage of stocks to stabilize the market, and stressed that if he were a policy violator in office, he would be inclined to force banks to hold 10% or 20% of their total assets in stocks.

He said forces were detected that first pushed share prices up artificially and then bet on a decline through derivatives to maximize profits. He advised that, having spotted this pattern, investors should exit the stock market before June 15.

He analyzed that 1.2 million won has formed as the floor price, while 1.7 million won will act as a strong resistance line. He worried that the share price may show a pattern of oscillating between 1.2 million and 1.7 million won for three months, which could make for a frustrating period for investors.

His analysis is that certain small and mid-cap stocks will take turns leading rallies and draw market attention. By contrast, he forecast that large semiconductor stocks such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix will keep fluctuating within the range, showing shake-out movements linked to derivatives.

Lee Seung-jo analyzed that foreign investors intend to accumulate shares at current lows. He explained that they are employing a strategy of artificially depressing share prices, buying in volume, and then pushing prices up to realize gains when a positive catalyst arrives, namely inclusion in the MSCI developed market index. This suggests that foreign forces are drawing a larger picture of moving the market over the long term.

He saw the market as likely to move within a limited range rather than rising sharply. Accordingly, he advised that a trading approach seeking short-term gains by finding heavily sold-off stocks would be effective as an investment strategy. This implies that a flexible approach that responds to market flows is needed rather than long-term investing.

He explained that such stocks have a higher likelihood of technical rebounds, so they can be treated as opportunities to generate returns from a short-term perspective.

He expressed concern that such conduct undermines market fairness and could provide investors with distorted information.

This suggests that the weakening of Chinese companies' price competitiveness could have a positive effect on Korean semiconductor firms.

However, he predicted that Trump would devote all his efforts to placing his own people in the next administration in order to avoid going to prison. He added that, regardless of the election outcome, Trump will focus on expanding his personal business and increasing his family's wealth.

He said he is hoping for inclusion in the watch list next year, and judged that actual inclusion in the developed market index would take somewhat longer.

He dismissed such a forecast as mere 'bait,' and pointed out that the preconditions for an actual market rise have not been met. Specifically, he explained that the market can gain genuine upward momentum only if the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield falls below 4.5% or the Federal Reserve removes uncertainty through interest rate hikes. He stressed that only when such an environment takes shape will investors be able to place bets on the market.

Lee Seung-jo advised not to hold high expectations for SK Group's shareholder return policy. He interpreted that Chairman Chey Tae-won harbors an inner reluctance toward shareholders' short-term trading behavior, that is, 'buying and selling.' Accordingly, he expressed the view that shareholder return policies are more likely to be delayed than actively implemented according to the chairman's will.

Lee Seung-jo also expects SK Hynix's share price to be confined to a trading range. He further forecast that its shareholder return policy is likely to be implemented as late as possible. This is consistent with the overall shareholder return policy stance of the SK Group, and he analyzed that the focus will be on raising long-term corporate value rather than short-term share price support.

He judged that Nvidia already has a high valuation, leaving limited room for further upside. By contrast, he explained that considering Tesla's leadership in the electric vehicle market and its future growth drivers, it could be a more attractive investment.

There has been a suggestion that SK Group's performance-bonus system may change. Lee Seung-jo said talk is circulating that the union performance bonus system, which had previously been paid in cash, could be converted to stock. Such a change could be interpreted not only as affecting how employee compensation is paid, but also as an intent by the group to manage cash liquidity at the group level. Changing the method of bonus payment is a significant matter that could also affect the asset composition of employees.