Lee Jae-myung's Approval Rating Falls Below 40%; Crisis Intensifies

This is the first time the figure has fallen below 40% since the Korea Gallup survey began.

Negative evaluations stood at 51%, maintaining a majority for two consecutive weeks, indicating deepening public distrust towards Representative Lee Jae-myung.

The host mentioned, "Regarding Yong Hye-in, the figure for 'unsuitable' among ministerial candidates after 13 years and 3 years has reached an all-time high."

This suggests that criticism against specific candidates like Yong Hye-in is escalating, and public dissatisfaction with the overall personnel vetting process is growing.

Go Young-chan stated, "Even the concrete support base for the Democratic Party in Honam, the 4050 generation, is now hitting rock bottom."

Furthermore, the approval rating of the 4050 generation has also fallen to its lowest point, indicating a weakening of the Democratic Party's traditional core support base.

Controversies surrounding Minister candidate Yong Hye-in and candidate Kim Seung-won are currently dominating public opinion. Go Young-chan pointed out, "The person who is currently benefiting the most from the appointment of Minister candidate Yong Hye-in is... Lee So-young, Minister candidate for SMEs... nobody is looking at her."

As a result, other candidates, such as Lee So-young, Minister candidate for SMEs, are receiving relatively little attention. Some suggest that this situation could be an intentional strategy to divert controversy.

Kim Se-jong emphasized, "Even for NBS... a 7% drop in two weeks from MBS is significant."

This means that the decline in the Democratic Party's approval rating is clearly evident even in survey institutions considered favorable to the ruling party. In terms of party support, the Democratic Party declined, while the People Power Party rose by 5%, showing a contrast.

Experts predict that Representative Lee Jae-myung's approval rating will continue to decline. Go Young-chan said, "I think the survey next week could show it in the early 30s. And I think it could even reach the 20s. At the latest, it will happen before Chuseok."

Accordingly, an approval rating in the early 30% range is expected in next week's public opinion poll, with a possibility of falling to the 20% range by Chuseok at the latest.

Host Sunwoo Yoon-ho explained, "In Gallup, MBS also dropped by 7% yesterday, didn't it? MBS also dropped by 7%, and Gallup's 40% barrier collapsed," emphasizing that the collapse of Representative Lee Jae-myung's approval rating is occurring simultaneously across major polling agencies.

A 7%p drop was confirmed in NBS (National Barometer Survey), and the 40% threshold collapsed in Korea Gallup. This suggests that the decline is clear even in interview-based surveys, indicating an emergency situation.

The decline in Representative Lee Jae-myung's approval rating is consistent with the trend shown in Realmeter's survey results. Ju Sung-eun said, "You mentioned that it would be difficult for Lee Jae-myung to reach the 30% range so quickly... I think it's in the 20% range. Yes. I'm not just saying it, I really think 20% is possible, and the reason I think it will come out like this is because there's no intention to change the direction of state affairs."

This is a 21%p drop in three months compared to the 4th week of May, and the prevailing forecast is that the approval rating will continue to decline due to the lack of willingness to change the direction of state affairs.

Ju Sung-eun pointed out that recent personnel controversies, such as those involving Yong Hye-in and Kim Seung-won, are merely superficial factors. He emphasized, "Both Yong Hye-in and Kim Seung-won's personnel issues are superficial... What's important is that if you look at the Lee Jae-myung administration's policies, especially real estate policies, there's no attempt to change the direction."

Ultimately, the analysis is that the failure in personnel management coupled with the lack of change in the direction of state affairs, including real estate policies, is continuously eroding the approval rating.

Ju Sung-eun predicted that even if Minister candidate Yong Hye-in fails to be appointed, controversies will continue with subsequent appointments. He mentioned, "If Yong Hye-in is dropped, another candidate will emerge... The person after Yong Hye-in is also expected to be formidable. Then there will be controversy again. It continues."

This suggests the possibility of conflict due to a discrepancy between excellent talent within the party and candidates, and signs of a deepening separation between the party and the government.