Amid uncertainty regarding the actual deployment of nuclear weapons revealed by North Korea, recent heavy rains have caused flood damage to North Korean military bases and maneuver routes, potentially degrading operational capabilities.
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North Korea continues to reveal tactical nuclear warheads and new missiles, but the actual quantity in possession and their operational deployment remain unconfirmed, raising questions about their true nature.
Some experts suggest that the nuclear capabilities displayed by North Korea might be models or for external demonstration, and this possibility cannot be ruled out.
Our military authorities have stated that they estimate North Korea possesses around 80 to 120 nuclear warheads, including tactical nuclear weapons.
This figure shows a significant difference from former U.S. President Donald Trump's past remarks that North Korea's nuclear weapons holdings would be fewer than 20.
Although North Korea conceals its nuclear facilities underground and in mountainous areas, South Korea-U.S. intelligence agencies are employing various means, including satellites, signal intelligence, and human intelligence (HUMINT), to track the locations of key nuclear facilities.
The two countries are closely sharing information to intensively monitor North Korea's nuclear activities and are keeping a close watch on its movements.
Conventional forces are rendered powerless against nuclear weapons, much like matchlocks during the Imjin War, demonstrating the overwhelming power of nuclear weapons.
Therefore, it is emphasized that strengthening South Korea-U.S. combined joint exercises and preparing robust countermeasures are paramount to respond to North Korea's nuclear threat.
The flood damage in the Sin’gye area of Hwanghae Province holds significant military implications, as Sin’gye is on a key axis connecting Pyongyang, Kaesong, Munsan, and Seoul, serving as a critical road for mechanized unit movements.
If low-lying units in this area were submerged, it is suggested that it could cause serious disruptions to North Korean military operations.
After the war in the 1960s, North Korea cleared mountains with slopes of 40 degrees or less for food security, turning them into bare mountains. This indiscriminate deforestation is analyzed as a major cause exacerbating current flood damage.
Due to forest destruction, soil easily washes away with every rain, accumulating on riverbeds and obstructing river flow, which ultimately weakens flood response capabilities.
The front lines between Ukraine and Russia consist mainly of flat, open terrain, unlike Korea's mountainous topography, resembling the trench warfare of World War II.
It is analyzed that North Korean special forces personnel participating there suffered immense casualties by employing reckless charge and deployment tactics without considering this battlefield environment.
It is pointed out that North Korean-style charge tactics, failing to understand the characteristics of modern warfare, were incompatible with the modern battlefield terrain, becoming a primary cause of casualties.
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